Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 104.932356 120.717117 139.332964 163.257969 193.722397 231.989685 2.850112e+02
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 82.177061 100.753373 124.951477 159.936549 211.395172 288.400756 4.220035e+02
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 70.769184 90.259114 117.309818 159.665333 228.862025 347.929074 6.011364e+02
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 63.266590 83.117964 112.043322 160.318302 246.510835 414.985600 8.567192e+02
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 56.165305 75.270732 104.046875 154.277834 250.012784 456.804691 1.108417e+03
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 53.060976 72.780863 103.670182 160.621731 278.554213 570.311806 1.793116e+03
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 48.454754 67.378374 97.721700 155.571244 281.852300 624.364930 2.419804e+03
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 45.650826 64.469129 95.460001 156.896387 299.808523 735.775766 3.930070e+03
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 42.644666 60.910568 91.591598 154.232033 307.340755 822.113103 6.094555e+03
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 42.145730 61.393710 94.863175 166.908244 360.071587 1151.127835 2.247807e+04
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 42.435827 63.209434 100.798778 186.964568 446.569102 1859.712390 1.379526e+07
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 40.285083 60.558417 97.855112 185.676866 464.455318 2216.675633 NaN
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 37.837080 57.444854 94.173308 183.264998 483.448921 2741.783190 NaN
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 35.449236 54.281176 90.112560 179.335578 496.733252 3358.642565 NaN
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 33.660228 52.041118 87.641794 179.014806 525.839197 4515.342725 NaN
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 32.153871 50.185658 85.730719 179.787082 561.856560 6469.686786 NaN
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 30.195716 47.326340 81.359058 172.652647 555.270032 7459.513848 NaN
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 29.487743 46.781875 81.933403 180.146037 633.450207 15249.595816 NaN
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 27.921140 44.463971 78.329307 174.178464 630.839706 19330.473944 NaN
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 26.978801 43.296168 77.193417 175.742757 678.214084 39778.943193 NaN
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 25.822121 41.628264 74.749088 172.598634 692.804071 70063.950812 NaN
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 25.790875 42.187921 77.523613 187.595161 864.392647 NaN NaN
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 26.111338 43.482392 82.244960 211.512842 1188.821930 NaN NaN